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Mac OS X Lion predictions

There are some predictions or wishlists floating in the tubes regarding an anticipated update to Mac OS X. Some of them are more probable, some less and some are just plain crazy. Let me give you my predictions and some commentary.

1. The next cat name is likely to be “Lion”. This is based entirely on a single picture from the invitation picture and also is the least interesting prediction. I don’t think it is going to be the “last” release in any sense.

2. The merge with iOS. First, Mac OS X already has some UI features borrowed from iOS: navigation buttons in Dock stacks, iPhoto and iTunes. There will be more of them. Maybe scrollview will be updated with more flat scrollbars, maybe some bouncing will appear (and if so, it will be off by default for the existing software).
No way there will be a touch-controllable UI for the existing applications. The apps are not designed at all for the multi-touch and the size of the finger. Even if Windows 7 supports this, there’s no reason for Apple to follow the same path. However, taking in account the dual-mode touch screen patent, it seems more probable that Mac OS X might be transformed into iOS device on demand. But Apple does not favor dual-mode UIs: this just creates confusion for users and developers. The Front Row is a rare example of a second UI mode (transforming Mac into a focused media player). But the iOS is considered more or less a full-feature environment with far reacher user interface then the Front Row and at least as rich as Mac OS X. It is very unlikely that the iMac or MacBook will have two personalities which complete with each other and cooperate badly producing a huge confusion.

So believing in a strong movement towards touch UI everywhere, we may expect not a dual-mode, but per-window fusion of the iOS apps into Mac OS X. This has it’s issues also: still the file sharing is not as smooth as what we expect on a desktop OS, the iPad screen in portrait mode does not fit in the MacBook screen. And again, if you can touch and drag the iOS window, why not to touch and drag other windows? And if you can touch and drag all the windows, why not touch all the buttons? And the screen should be oriented horizontally just as keyboard or trackpad today. This is not easy to solve.

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So the UIKit multi-touch will eventually show up in some version of Mac OS X, but it is not as easy as some may believe. The less improbable prediction: the Mac OS X will have a very conservative, slow introduction of touchscreen with emphasized limitations to minimize confusion as much as possible.

3. AppStore for Mac OS X. This is a really good idea in pure form, but once again has some conceptual difficulties. Apple will not lock the Mac OS X as they did with iOS, so it will compete with other distribution channels and may be forced to lower their 30% cut. At the very same time they would have to retain approval process to filter out crappy software they will sell. Developers who are not happy with the commission and the approval process, will go distribute the apps on their own. But this is very hard to debate because there’s still no third party app store for Mac, so the place seems vacant. Or it is vacant because no one could build a viable store business yet. Anyway, the Apple is the most likely company to succeed at this, and if executed perfectly, it will attract a lot of developers and make themselves and Apple much more money, and drag the Mac even further in the market share race.

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4. Resolution independence (making UI 1.25-1.5 times bigger). Mac OS X team works on resolution independence for more that 4 years already. And still, on Snow Leopard the implementation is buggy and far from being anywhere close to “beta” status. The conceptual problem here is that this technology is aimed at scales of 1.25 and 1.5, not 2.0 like on iPhone. And this is not as simple as multiplying everything by two. I guess the displays with 2x higher resolution (for MacBooks at least) will become affordable before the 1.25 scale will be fixed for all the shipping apps.
Oh, do not forget that the “retina display” approach does not make things bigger for people with poor vision, it makes them sharper. The sharper text somewhat easier to see, but not as easy as 1.5x bigger one. Apple may realize that system-wide smooth resolution scaling is not worth tinkering with and full screen zoom is just enough for solving vision problems. My bet is on retina displays and old resolution independence framework being put on the shelf.

5. Finder improvements. Some folks dream about tabbed Finder. The problem is that file system is hard enough already. Adding tabs just complicates the look of the Finder and makes file system even scarier. Even if the tabs find their way into Finder, they will be disabled by default. Just like the tabs in the earlier versions of Safari were disabled. Slotastic casino no deposit bonus.

What would be really cool is a merge of the Dock Stacks with the Quick Look and a merge of Quick Look with other apps. This is a pure speculation. Have you noticed how easy it is to jump through the folders in the Dock Stack? Buttons are big and once you find the file you want, the window disappears automatically. The Quick Look also disappears easily. Finder on the other hand, creates clutter: you have too many individual Finder windows all over the desktop. The tabs do not remove the clutter, they just organize it. Maybe what we need is not organizing it manually, but having something like a “recent folders” list and jumping through them using Quick Look.

How many times you’ve started a movie in Quick Look and played it way too long to forget that it is not a stand-alone player? And then you do something with Finder and the movie disappears! Take a look at the iCal: if you open an event, the popover window will appear with details. This window behaves much like the Quick Look: do something else and it disappears. But if you move is a little bit, it will transform into a stand-alone panel which will stick on the screen until you close it. The same idea can apply to Quick Look. It will be super-useful to transform a folder preview into a Finder window, a movie preview into a Quick Time window etc.

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6. iChat with FaceTime, iCal like in iPad, iLife, iWork updates: this all is possible. The question is the timing: maybe not all of that will be tomorrow, but only some. I don’t expect super-cool features here, but more like an evolution and improvements.


7. Macs won’t support blu-ray drives. I haven’t heard about blu-ray from any of people I know. Those who really need it may buy an external drive.


8. There won’t be NTFS mounts or built-in VM for Windows. Not because there is a fight with Microsoft. Apple simply doesn’t have time for the features most people don’t need. BootCamp was an important thing in 2006 to bring more customers. Nowadays Apple does not mention “switching” anymore. There is already a plenty of ways to communicate with Windows, both built-in and supplied by third parties.


9. Mac OS X distributed as a free software update. Recently Apple has lobbied an accounting rules change to be able to distribute free updates of iOS for non-subsidized products like iPod touch and iPad. This makes the platform more vibrant and much more devices stay up-to-date. Making Mac OS X update free, Apple can accelerate adoption of their technologies and bring better and more exciting applications to the Mac.

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https://no-islamic-bonus-deposit-tk-99-slots.peatix.com. Edit: forgot to add that a lot of goodies from UIKit, MapKit, EventKit etc. might well be ported to the Mac APIs. The NSTableView might learn about recyclable views from UITableView.